Warren Buffett on buying American stocks in the time of financial crisis
October 21st, 2008 | by Marina |Warren Buffett, 78 known for his fortune building skills and also the the world’s richest man according to Forbes magazine shared the reason for his confidence in buying US stocks when the financial world is in a mess.
“The financial world is a mess, both in the United States and abroad. Its problems, moreover, have been leaking into the general economy, and the leaks are now turning into a gusher. In the near term, unemployment will rise, business activity will falter and headlines will continue to be scary” Buffett said to The New York Times.
“So … I’ve been buying American stocks. This is my personal account I’m talking about, in which I previously owned nothing but United States government bonds. (This description leaves aside my Berkshire Hathaway holdings, which are all committed to philanthropy.) If prices keep looking attractive, my non-Berkshire net worth will soon be 100 percent in United States equities” the chief executive of Berkshire Hathaway added.
The reason he gave for buying American stocks is “A simple rule dictates my buying that is Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful. And most certainly, fear is now widespread, gripping even seasoned investors. To be sure, investors are right to be wary of highly leveraged entities or businesses in weak competitive positions. But fears regarding the long-term prosperity of the nation’s many sound companies make no sense. These businesses will indeed suffer earnings hiccups, as they always have. But most major companies will be setting new profit records 5, 10 and 20 years from now”
“Let me be clear on one point: I can’t predict the short-term movements of the stock market. I haven’t the faintest idea as to whether stocks will be higher or lower a month — or a year — from now. What is likely, however, is that the market will move higher, perhaps substantially so, well before either sentiment or the economy turns up. So if you wait for the robins, spring will be over” Buffett added.
He further added that over the long term, the stock market news will be good. For this he took the example how in the 20th century, the United States endured two world wars and other traumatic and expensive military conflicts which resulted in the Depression, a dozen or so recessions and financial panics; oil shocks; a flu epidemic; and the resignation of a disgraced president and yet the Dow rose from 66 to 11,497.
He added “today people who hold cash equivalents feel comfortable. They shouldn’t. They have opted for a terrible long-term asset, one that pays virtually nothing and is certain to depreciate in value. Indeed, the policies that government will follow in its efforts to alleviate the current crisis will probably prove inflationary and therefore accelerate declines in the real value of cash accounts”.
Buffett said equities will almost certainly outperform cash over the next decade, probably by a substantial degree. Those investors who cling now to cash are betting they can efficiently time their move away from it later. In waiting for the comfort of good news, they are ignoring Wayne Gretzky’s advice: “I skate to where the puck is going to be, not to where it has been.”
(Source: The New York Times)
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